Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?
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22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard3 févr. 26, 20:54 UTC1 janv. 33, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $5 trillion on January 1st, 2033, as measured by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index or Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List.
- The resolution will use the official net worth figure published by either source on that date.
- If both sources differ, the market resolves YES only if both sources report a net worth above $5 trillion.
- As of January 2026, Musk's net worth is estimated between $690-852 billion, making him the world's richest person.
- His wealth is primarily driven by a $366 billion stake in SpaceX, valued at $800 billion, and significant holdings in Tesla and xAI.
