Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTechSpaceBusiness & Corporate6aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète3 févr. 26, 20:54 UTC1 janv. 33, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than 2 Trillion Dollars before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $5 trillion on January 1st, 2033, as measured by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index or Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List.
- The resolution will use the official net worth figure published by either source on that date.
- If both sources differ, the market resolves YES only if both sources report a net worth above $5 trillion.
- As of January 2026, Musk's net worth is estimated between $690-852 billion, making him the world's richest person.
- His wealth is primarily driven by a $366 billion stake in SpaceX, valued at $800 billion, and significant holdings in Tesla and xAI.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2033.
- Comment Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria