KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
claude-opus-5-high 61.7%+9.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
35,3 k €
Liquidité
75,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
3 août 26, 15:0031 août 26, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle62.5%
- Tennessee37.5%
- Volume total
- 39,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 38,5 k €
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-0.5pt69%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,2 k €
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Volume total
- 32,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 32,9 k €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,9 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.5pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- ZEC price on August 28
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BTC price on August 24
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top AI model in August ?
- Kalshi cote claude-opus-5-high à 62% au 24 août 2026.
- Quand Top AI model in August sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top AI model in August doit être résolu le 31 août 2026.
- Comment Top AI model in August est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.