KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite 61%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
9 mai 26, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections
Manifold MarketsWill data center legislation (GRID Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 323,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 523 k €
- Volume 24h
- 22 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4 k €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite à 61% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which state laws will be enacted in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If legislation that would raise Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage in steps to $15 by 2029 and index to inflation has become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.