KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Résolu: 23 juin 2026, 23:42
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelleCeasefire 1%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
73,5 k €
Liquidité
818,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 jours
Obsolète23 juin 26, 18:458 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Marchés Associés
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
6,3 M €Starmer - UK PM: 97%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
1,3 M €July 31: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
117 k €December 31: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
90,1 k €Before September: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
6,3 k €Before January 21, 2029: 24%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Iran signals talks stalled, Polymarket odds fall to 14.5% on Hormuz normalcyBlockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.NewsRègles
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Fox News: Special Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.