Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 73%
Qualite du marche
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
290,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
26.0% / 31.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
8 juil. 26, 0:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes27%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 73% | +53pt | 0 € | 290,1 € | il y a 13 minutes | |
 Polymarket72% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 81% | +61pt | 0 € | 891,3 € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Spain snap election called in 2026?
5mo
80.2%
19.8%
41 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total28,7 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Spain officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$348 juil.8j de données23 juil.
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If Spain officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.