Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 79%+3.5pt
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
211,3 €
Liquidité
8,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
18.0% / 24.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-5.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 mars 26, 22:05 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will France announce a snap election?
KalshiWill Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?
KalshiFrench election called by which date?
PolymarketUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketWill a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Spain snap election called in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Spain snap election called in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Spain snap election called in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Spain snap election called in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Spain snap election called in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.