Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
22.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueRussia / Ukraine1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 66.1%+44.0ptEn tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
9,7 k €
Liquidité
17 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
35.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
22 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
- Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a Russian sanctions bill become law? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 66% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a Russian sanctions bill become law? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a Russian sanctions bill become law? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will a Russian sanctions bill become law? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.