KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jul 1, 2028 34%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
23 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidité
274,7 €
Faible liquiditéDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
22 juil. 26, 19:39 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?
KalshiWill the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
KalshiWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiRègles
If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
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- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will a reconciliation bill become law? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jul 1, 2028 à 34% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will a reconciliation bill become law? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will a reconciliation bill become law? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will a reconciliation bill become law? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.