KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 71%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
14.0% / 18.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
24 août 26, 21:00 UTC5 oct. 27, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Quebec National Assembly election winner?
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KalshiRichmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketNicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketDrummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketKenyan National Assembly winner?
KalshiRègles
If the Parti Quebecois has won at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Elections Quebec
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- Majority control means more than half of the seats in Quebec's National Assembly, as certified by Élections Québec.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted.
- By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 71% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly? doit être résolu le 5 octobre 2027.
- Comment Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Parti Quebecois has won at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.