MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection11mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Patrick Roath, ≥4% 2%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
5,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
27 août 26, 19:24 UTC1 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Règles
If the margin of victory for Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Patrick Roath minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Patrick Roath if Patrick Roath wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Patrick Roath loses.
- If Patrick Roath wins, the margin will be positive; if Patrick Roath loses, the margin will be negative; if Patrick Roath ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Patrick Roath runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) ?
- Kalshi cote Patrick Roath, ≥4% à 2% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) sera-t-il résolu ?
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2027.
- Comment MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the margin of victory for Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.