KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ed Markey, ≥20% 86.8%En tête parmi 12 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,3 €
Liquidité
45,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
17 juin 26, 15:01 UTC1 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? ?
- Kalshi cote Ed Markey, ≥20% à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2027.
- Comment Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.