South Carolina Republican Governor primary runoff margin of victory?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection
KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisCe marché s'est résolu: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Résolu: 29 juin 2026, 20:56
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
99%
ConsensusProbabilité implicite actuelleAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
188 €
Liquidité
774,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète16 juin 26, 17:1423 juin 27, 14:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.