KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleMelat Kiros, ≥15% 2%-1.0%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8 k €
Liquidité
79,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
29 juin 26, 15:0330 juin 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Melat Kiros, ≥15%2%
Marchés Associés
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
406 k €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
14,7 k €Phil Weiser, 12-15%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHILouisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
978,7 €Julia Letlow, ≥3%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
930,1 €Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%: 46%KALSHI
KALSHINY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?
680 €Darializa Avila Chevalier, ≥15%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHINY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?
135,5 €Claire Valdez, ≥15%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.