KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jul 14, 2026 97%+82.9%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,1 M €
Liquidité
1,7 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
95.6% / 95.7%
Spread
0.1%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 juin 26, 16:1514 juil. 26, 3:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Jul 14, 202697%
Également disponible sur PredictIt
Will Graham Platner drop out before July 14?
6j
91%
9%
Retail prediction exchange
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
PREDICTIT
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
3mo
11%
89%
Prévision communautaire45 prévisionnistesType: binary
Volume total4,9 k €
Volume 24h131,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$3.5M2 juil.6j de données7 juil.
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If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.