KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 81.5%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
85.0% / 88.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
19 févr. 26, 19:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
KalshiPennsylvania State Senate winner?
KalshiNew Hampshire State House winner?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
If the the named outcome wins the Pennsylvania State House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the State of Pennsylvania
- This market will resolve based on total chamber control of the Pennsylvania State House, incorporating all 203 seats, as measured by the party which wins more seats.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pennsylvania State House winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 81% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pennsylvania State House winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pennsylvania State House winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Pennsylvania State House winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the named outcome wins the Pennsylvania State House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.