KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
MiniMax 2%En tête parmi 13 options
MiniMax 2%Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
5,3 k €
Liquidité
5,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
25 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC2 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurOpen Source market share on Sep 26th
KalshiWill OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.