KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No other person 55%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.1 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
1 avr. 25, 14:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
KalshiWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
KalshiWill Tulsi Gabbard be Secretary of State before January 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Jared Kushner serve as Secretary of State by November 7, 2028?
Manifold MarketsMichigan Secretary of State Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
If Secretary of State is the named outcome before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
- If the next new Secretary of State before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? ?
- Kalshi cote No other person à 55% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Secretary of State is the named outcome before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.