KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No other person 52.1%+11.0ptEn tête parmi 17 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
44,1 €
Liquidité
19,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
1 avr. 25, 14:0020 janv. 29, 15:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 601,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 743,1 k €
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? ?
- Kalshi cote No other person à 52% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.