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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

RégulationOne-OffUS PoliticsTrade PolicyPolitiqueÉlection19j
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 20%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

0,7 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

18.0% / 27.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

1 juin 26, 14:001 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes20%

Règles

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

Marchés Associés

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,6 €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Oui: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

48,1 €
Before 2027: 10%KalshiKALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

5,8 €
$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

0 €
Global: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

0 €
Oui: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,767.61+1.84%EthereumETH$1,656.56+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.18%XRPXRP$1.12+0.40%BNBBNB$598.88+2.03%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to: