KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 8.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
21 mai 26, 21:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Nauru Electoral Commission
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met.
- Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.