KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%En tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
26 août 26, 19:09 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWill 007 First Light be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards? (James Bond game from IO Studios)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsRègles
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 295,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,9 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 44,3 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 219,4 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour James Bond · Release Date ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2029 à 70% au 13 septembre 2026.
- Quand James Bond · Release Date sera-t-il résolu ?
- James Bond · Release Date doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment James Bond · Release Date est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.