KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republicans, 12+ pts 97%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
519,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.5 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
29 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
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0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour South Dakota Governor margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Republicans, 12+ pts à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand South Dakota Governor margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- South Dakota Governor margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment South Dakota Governor margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.