KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrats, 1+ pts 39%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,9 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:203 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Michigan's 4th District margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Democrats, 1+ pts à 39% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Michigan's 4th District margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Michigan's 4th District margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Michigan's 4th District margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.