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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. California Governor Primary margin of victory
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1 €

Liquidité

98 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

85.0% / 99.0%

Spread

16.5%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

4 mai 26, 23:453 nov. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0%Fermés
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+8.0%93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.8%3%

+5 résultats de plus

64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total26,6 k €
Volume 24h1,5 k €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

34,2 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

6,9 €
James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

5,9 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

3,2 €
Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,873.26+2.16%EthereumETH$1,658.52+1.50%SolanaSOL$65.29+2.22%DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+1.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.78%BNBBNB$602.37+2.78%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.