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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlection
PolymarketPolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Probabilité implicite actuelle
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5% 93%+7.0%
En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche

64 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

1,5 k €

Liquidité

37,6 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-29.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

28 mai 26, 21:492 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+7.0%
93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%
6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.8%
3%
Becerra 10%+
Becerra 10%+
+1.6%
3%
Steyer 5%+
Steyer 5%+
0%
Steyer <5%
Steyer <5%
0%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

KalshiÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi

California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0%1a
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
-1.0%90%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
99%
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
8%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total294,5 €
Volume 24h1 €
KalshiKALSHI

Règles

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

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California Governor Election Winner

2 M €
Xavier Becerra: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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793,8 k €
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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10,3 k €
Keiko Fujimori: 96.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Peru Presidential election winner?

Peru Presidential election winner?

9,4 k €
Roberto Sánchez: 4%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,108.79+3.43%EthereumETH$1,662.46+2.54%SolanaSOL$65.54+3.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.17%XRPXRP$1.12+1.32%BNBBNB$600.94+3.05%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.