KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAt least 30 99%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2 k €
Liquidité
61,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
2 juil. 26, 16:004 août 26, 16:45
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
At least 601%
Grosses transactions
$1.3k31.0%KALSHIAt least 50 — Yes-19 j
KALSHIAt least 50 — Yes-19 j$1.7k95.0%KALSHIAt least 40 — Yes-21 j
KALSHIAt least 40 — Yes-21 jTendance du volume
$2.3k2 juil.27j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 M €July 31: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
694,6 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
531,1 k €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92,1 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36,4 k €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
17,6 k €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraph
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 70 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.