KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Stephen Lynch 72.1%-4.0ptAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
81 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
97,8 k €
Liquidité
168,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
72.0% / 75.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
19 mai 26, 14:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Democratic Party of Massachusetts
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour MA-08 Democratic nominee? ?
- Kalshi cote Stephen Lynch à 72% au 2 septembre 2026.
- Quand MA-08 Democratic nominee? sera-t-il résolu ?
- MA-08 Democratic nominee? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment MA-08 Democratic nominee? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.