KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
80° to 81° 54.4%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
80° to 81° 54.4%Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
408,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
387,6 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
3 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC5 oct. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 5m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 3, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 3, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on October 4?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) be below 80 F on October 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) be below 81 F on October 3, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExRègles
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 80° to 81°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° to 79°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is greater than 81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° to 77°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° to 75°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 4, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Miami on October 5? · 71°F or below 46%