KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleExactly 2 28%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
7.0% / 14.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
16 sept. 25, 21:0031 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Exactly 015%
Marchés Associés
Which bills will become law in 2026?
848 €FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 13%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
345,3 €3: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
0 €Oui: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
0 €Oui: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US bans social media for children in 2026?
0 €Oui: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?
0 €President: 60%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITActifs dans ces sujets
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If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
- This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
- Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
- If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
- Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.