How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
5 or more · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
5 or more 55%En tête parmi 4 options
5 or more 55%Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
9,8 €
Intérêt ouvert
22,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
5 or moreÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard16 sept. 25, 21:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 5 or more
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Senate ParliamentarianNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representativesthe Secretary of the SenateClerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.