KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Election / Midterm · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Election / Midterm 83.5%En tête parmi 17 options
Election / Midterm 83.5%Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert
4,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Election / MidtermÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
13 nov. 26, 22:15 UTC28 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Election / Midterm
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will John Fetterman say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
KalshiWill Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Fox News settle in their defamation lawsuit with Smartmatic before going to trial?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen the Fox News Empire when Rupert Murdoch dies?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Mike Johnson says Election / Midterm as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Election / Midterm
- If Mike Johnson says Election / Midterm as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Mike Johnson says Democrat as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Socialism / Socialist
- If Mike Johnson says Socialism / Socialist as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jeffries
- If Mike Johnson says Jeffries as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shutdown / Shut Down
- If Mike Johnson says Shutdown / Shut Down as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax Cut / Cut Tax
- If Mike Johnson says Tax Cut / Cut Tax as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Border
- If Mike Johnson says Border as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Mike Johnson says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If Mike Johnson says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Mike Johnson says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Mike Johnson says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Mike Johnson says China / Chinese as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Poll / Pollster
- If Mike Johnson says Poll / Pollster as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If Mike Johnson says Inflation as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Mike Johnson says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Mike Johnson says Healthcare as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.