How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsÉlectionSport4mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
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Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
1 61.5%En tête parmi 5 options
1 61.5%Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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1Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
28 août 26, 22:00 UTC9 mars 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 1
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
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PolymarketRègles
If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Count nationwide Knesset elections actually held, beginning with the next election after issuance. Each election counts once, including repeat elections held before a new government is formed. Scheduled or cancelled elections, local elections, and separate voting phases of the same election do not count separately. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. The count stops at the first such vote after the first counted election, or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first. A coalition agreement, presidential assignment, or continuation of the outgoing government does not end the count. If no new government has formed by the cutoff, count elections held through the cutoff. If no election is held, all listed markets resolve No. Use the Central Elections Committee’s official election records and the Knesset’s official government-formation record.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 1
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 3 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is at least 5 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 4 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.