KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 20, 2029 41%
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
13,5 €
Liquidité
147,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
41.0% / 42.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
22 mars 25, 14:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
KalshiWill the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsInsurrection Act invoked by which date?
PolymarketTrump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?
FutuurRègles
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the White HouseThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 20, 2029 à 41% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.