KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Mar 1, 2027 43%-9.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
375,4 €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
29 juin 26, 20:23 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
KalshiWhen will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
KalshiHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Kalshi"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
PolymarketTerritory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
FutuurRègles
If Lance Schroyer is the first person confirmed as Director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change-10.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt45.1%
- 25 bps decrease-1.9pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7 M €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.2pt93%
- Yes+2.2pt7%
- Volume total
- 18,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 551,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Volume total
- 27,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 549,5 k €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
- Before Jan 1, 2027-5.0pt39%
- Before Dec 1, 202631.7%
- Before Nov 1, 202617.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 462,4 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+3.0pt56%
- D-House, R-Senate32%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt11%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,9 M €
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Maine Senate winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Mar 1, 2027 à 43% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Lance Schroyer is the first person confirmed as Director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.