KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ralph Alvarado 76.5%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
23.0% / 24.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
7 janv. 26, 01:07 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the House member sworn in for KY-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for KY-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 598,4 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 425,6 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,8 M €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour KY-06 House winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Ralph Alvarado à 76% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand KY-06 House winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- KY-06 House winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment KY-06 House winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the House member sworn in for KY-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.