KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Chris McGowan 90.3%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
7 janv. 26, 1:073 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour IA-04 House winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Chris McGowan à 90% au 24 août 2026.
- Quand IA-04 House winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- IA-04 House winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment IA-04 House winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où IA-04 House winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.