KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 30%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
19 août 26, 14:00 UTC12 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketWill Canada expel the US ambassador in 2026?
PredictItChuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhat % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
Manifold MarketsWhat % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role.
- This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 30% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada? doit être résolu le 12 décembre 2026.
- Comment Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.