Probabilité implicite actuelle
74° or above 10%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
661,7 €
Liquidité
654,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.0% / 8.0%
Spread
60.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
15 juil. 26, 14:0017 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
74° or above10%
Comparer les plateformes· 68° to 69°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global86% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 39% | — | 8,6 k € | 47,7 k € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Faible | 36% | — | 661,7 € | 654,7 € | il y a 13 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 16?
17h
39%
24%
21%
+8 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total8,6 k €
Volume 24h8,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.