Probabilité implicite actuelle
70° or below 3%-7.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15,7 k €
Liquidité
12,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
14 juil. 26, 14:0016 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
70° or below3%
Tendance du volume
$17.9k14 juil.2j de données15 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 16, 2026?
562 €74° or above: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?
334,1 k €86° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?
93,7 k €96° or below: 53%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
39,1 k €16°C: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 16?
31,1 k €28°C: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
30,4 k €29°C: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 15, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.