PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle29°C 39%+25.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
23,8 k €
Liquidité
38,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
20.9% / 22.9%
Spread
9.6%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
14 juil. 26, 4:0316 juil. 26, 12:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
29°C39%
Tendance du volume
$27.2k14 juil.2j de données15 juil.
Marchés Associés
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60,4 k €96° or below: 55%KALSHI
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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 15, 2026?
39 k €78° or above: 1%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
36,9 k €16°C: 68%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
26,9 k €80-81°F: 42%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Beijing on July 16?
24 k €33°C: 40%POLYMARKET
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Règles
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.