Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 58.3%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
211,7 €
Liquidité
31,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 mars 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:state governments
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Democratic Party est de 56%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Democratic Party 56% · 2 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic Party à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.