KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 2.5% 53%+2.0%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3 €
Liquidité
304,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
44.0% / 56.0%
Spread
27.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 mars 26, 14:0030 juil. 26, 12:29
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Above 2.5%53%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
5.0%1mo
-9.0%26%
+0.5%23%
18%
+4 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total5,6 k €
Volume 24h156,4 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
828,6 €4.6-4.9%: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Oui: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
5,1 €-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
1,8 €Above 4.2%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026
0,3 €Above 3.2%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIRègles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.