KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 3.0% 8%-7.0%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4 k €
Liquidité
59,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
11 mai 26, 14:3030 juil. 26, 12:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 3.0%8%
Comparer les plateformes· 1.5–2.0%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 99% | +63pt | 4 k € | 59,5 k € | il y a 19 minutes | |
 Polymarket100% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 36% | 0pt | 240 € | 9,6 k € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Futuur72% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 37% | +1pt | 0 € | 4,9 k € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless100% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 36% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.5%3j
+4.0%36%
28%
18%
+4 résultats de plus
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total16,9 k €
Volume 24h240 €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3j
36%
28%
18%
+4 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total1 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Futuur
US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026
3j
37%
30%
20%
+1 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total44,7 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRègles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$4.5k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
8,8 €Above 2.5%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
1,8 k €3.0–3.4%: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
450 €1.5-2.0%: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
267,7 €0.0%–0.8%: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
17,6 €Oui: 9.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
10,4 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.