KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Raphaël Glucksmann 57.5%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:00 UTC1 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
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KalshiWill New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome wins the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Parti socialiste
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Raphaël Glucksmann à 58% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2027.
- Comment French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.