Probabilité implicite actuelle
Reform UK 92%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
127,2 k €
Liquidité
106,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
90.0% / 92.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
7 juil. 26, 14:451 sept. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Reform UK92%
Comparer les plateformes· Reform UK
Trié par volume 24 h
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Clacton by-election Winner
11mo
91%
50%
50%
+49 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total309,3 k €
Volume 24h309,3 k €
POLYMARKET
Également disponible sur Smarkets
Clacton By-Election - Winner
0%
14.7%
0%
+4 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total17,5 k €
Volume 24h17,5 k €
SMARKETSRègles
If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$145.2k7 juil.2j de données8 juil.
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If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.