KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
No, ≥1% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
No, ≥1% 67%En tête parmi 8 options
No, ≥1% 67%Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
894,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
10,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
No, ≥1%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
22 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · No, ≥1%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
KalshiCalifornia Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
KalshiWill California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by No minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind No if No wins, or the option that finishes first if No loses. If No wins, the margin will be positive; if No loses, the margin will be negative; if No ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Règles de chaque résultat
- No, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥13%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥19%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 19%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥22%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
