KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert
3,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Before Jul 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
16 sept. 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jul 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?
KalshiHow will the next World War begin?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada–EU trade top C$270B before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
PolymarketWill Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A joint announcement includes contemporaneous official statements from both sides confirming the same agreement to begin formal negotiations. An equivalent status must be expressly presented by Canada and the EU as the institutional arrangement contemplated by the EU's Canadian associate-membership proposal. Proposals, invitations, exploratory discussions, and general statements of intent do not qualify. Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.