KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Flávio Bolsonaro · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Flávio Bolsonaro 98.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro 98.5%Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
17,2 k €
Intérêt ouvert
15 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Flávio BolsonaroÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
22 oct. 26, 22:00 UTC25 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Flávio Bolsonaro
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City
PolymarketRègles
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.