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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 02:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
PSD 30%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
23 avr. 26, 04:00 UTC4 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If PSD wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- A governorship is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the candidate has taken office as governor.
- Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes.
- In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally.
- If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. If PT wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won ?
- Kalshi cote PSD à 30% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If PSD wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.