KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
17 or more 97%En tête parmi 8 options
17 or more 97%Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
3,2 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
23 sept. 26, 20:00 UTC24 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Règles
If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Elections BC
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 17 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 22 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 27 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 32 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 37 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 42 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 47 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 52 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 52 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
