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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 01:47 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Pauline Hanson 22%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
309,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
9 juil. 26, 20:31 UTC23 sept. 29, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Règles
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Parliament of Australia
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ?
- Kalshi cote Pauline Hanson à 22% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? doit être résolu le 23 septembre 2029.
- Comment Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.